Even though it flies in the face of all the glib certainties TV pundits are fond of proclaiming …[is that] it is too soon to be writing off anyone with a credible record and proven history of winning elections (with the strong exception of Bill de Blasio and Tulsi Gabbard).

…I recall pundits declaring with voice-of-God certainty in late summer of 2015 that the only Republicans who could plausibly win the 2016 nomination were Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio.

New Hampshire voters, in particular, are late deciders—and, even then, mercurial in their selections. 

“Most New Hampshire voters aren’t really paying attention yet,” said pollster Andy Smith, the director of the University of New Hampshire’s Survey Center. 

…TV [and] print [news] would rather ballyhoo the shallow preferences of voters who are, in truth, still undecided than admit how much of the 2020 campaign is still in flux.

…The secret of winning a presidential nomination—or coming tantalizingly close—lies in peaking at the right moment. …”t’s a lot better to pop in January than to pop in August.” 

The Also-Rans Hoping for a New Hampshire Miracle | The New Republic

hmmmm